Transition to BEV six times costlier than renewable diesel, ATRI report says


Renewable diesel (RD) is extra useful than battery electrical automobiles (BEVs), the newest report by American Transportation Analysis Institute (ATRI) reveals.

Whereas each RD and BEV pathways have implementation prices, the report concludes that counting on BEV to lower CO2 emissions is almost six instances costlier than utilizing RD. 

General, ATRI estimated {that a} transition to BEV for long-haul trucking will price over $1 trillion in electrical infrastructure and automobile buy prices over 15 years. 

ATRI illustraion
(Picture: ATRI)

Nevertheless, to attain comparable CO2 advantages with RD, ATRI estimates a price ticket of $203 billion, a big price financial savings for attaining the identical environmental advantages. 

RD is a gasoline that’s produced to be “chemically an identical” to petroleum diesel; thus, it may be blended with petroleum diesel in any quantity or used as a standalone, drop-in gasoline in a conventional diesel truck with out penalties. 

RD could be deployed instantly

Since RD is significantly extra scalable than BEV and could be deployed instantly in vehicles with out modifications, it’s seemingly that CO2 advantages utilizing RD could be achieved on a a lot shorter timeline than with a BEV transition.

 The report discovered that inside combustion engine (ICE) RD life-cycle CO2 is roughly 50% decrease than BEV CO2, and RD feedstock selection could lower this determine additional. Authorities mandates requiring a shift to BEV as an alternative of ICE RD would end in fleets rising their whole CO2 emissions.

Within the report, RD and BEV pathways had been evaluated on environmental advantages, operational capabilities and monetary viability.

Battery weight

Seventy-seven % of Class 8 vehicles within the for-hire trucking sector drove greater than 250 miles (402 km) per day in 2022. For each 1,000 ICE vehicles changed by BEV vehicles with an extra weight of seven,000 kilos (3,175 kg) extra, as many as 343 extra vehicles – and their corresponding extra emissions – shall be wanted to haul the identical quantity of freight, the report mentioned.

ATRI illustration
(Picture: ATRI)

It was confirmed that when vehicles utilizing RD at the moment are transformed to BEV, there’s a vital damaging environmental affect. Moreover, the report highlights operational advantages for trucking when utilizing RD in its place, in addition to vital infrastructure and new automobile price financial savings.

The report additionally mentioned there are potential headwinds to adoption of RD by the trucking business.  

Firstly, feedstock used to make RD have stored up with rising demand, it’s thought {that a} level shall be reached the place first-generation feedstocks can now not meet the demand from RD producers.

Secondly, whereas the complete affect of subsidies on the RD market will not be recognized, they’re clearly encouraging manufacturing. Ought to subsidies be faraway from the market too early, provide could lower.

And at last, curiosity is rising in sustainable aviation gasoline (SAF), which makes use of comparable feedstocks and processes for manufacturing.  It’s attainable that public coverage may form the SAF market, and divert RD from the trucking business, thus working in opposition to business efforts to decarbonize.

The ATRI report could be downloaded right here.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here